What The Delegate Race Looks Like At The District Level In Maine
Polls are about to close (at 8 p.m. Eastern) in Maine, where Sanders is a 2 in 3 (68 percent) favorite to win; Biden could pull off the upset, though, with a 1 in 4 (23 percent) chance. On average, our forecast expects Sanders to win 33 percent of the vote here, Biden to win 26 percent, Bloomberg to win 20 percent and Warren to win 16 percent. And our forecast thinks all four candidates will surpass the 15 percent delegate threshold the state’s two congressional districts as well, which could mean all four get a share of Maine’s delegates.
Sanders is strong everywhere in Maine
Average forecasted vote share for the top four Democratic presidential candidates in Maine congressional districts, according to the FiveThirtyEight model as of 9:30 a.m. on March 3
| District | Sanders | Biden | Bloomberg | Warren |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ME-01 | 34% | 25% | 20% | 16% |
| ME-02 | 33 | 27 | 20 | 15 |
| State | 33 | 26 | 20 | 16 |