FiveThirtyEight
Meredith Conroy

Earlier, Clare mentioned some of the campaign themes Sanders invokes that overlap with Trump, like anti-establishment rhetoric. In his remarks happening now, Biden invokes the “forgotten people,” like iron and mill workers. Trump, too, talks about the “forgotten men and women of this country.”

Nathaniel Rakich

Yep, Sarah, Biden had only a 1 in 5 (19 percent) chance there, per our forecast. I think the only bigger upset would be if Biden wins California?

Nate Silver

Yeah, that’s a BIG win for Biden.


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