FiveThirtyEight
Nathaniel Rakich

Yep, Sarah, Biden had only a 1 in 5 (19 percent) chance there, per our forecast. I think the only bigger upset would be if Biden wins California?

Nate Silver

Yeah, that’s a BIG win for Biden.

Sarah Frostenson

ABC has now projected that Biden will win the Minnesota primary. Biggest upset of the night so far?


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