FiveThirtyEight
Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

Despite the fact that California has 5 million voters who aren’t affiliated with either party, the state has a relatively small proportion of independents in this year’s Democratic primary electorates, according to the preliminary exit polls. That’s likely because independent voters had to take an extra step to vote in the Democratic presidential primary — which not very many of them seemed to do. Lower turnout among independents is not great news for Sanders, who performed particularly well among this group in 2016 and was polling well among California independents recently.

Nathaniel Rakich

Maine is another state that is looking closer than anticipated; with 27 percent of the vote counted, Sanders has 34.1 percent and Biden has 33.6 percent. (Warren is at 16 percent — just barely enough to qualify for delegates if it holds — and Bloomberg is at 12 percent.) However, The New York Times needle still says the state is “tilting Biden.”

Anna Rothschild

Could Minnesota be an upset for Bernie Sanders? Galen Druke and Geoffrey Skelley weigh in:


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