FiveThirtyEight
Galen Druke

The narrative of this night won’t be set at least until we have results from Texas (assuming Sanders wins California). That race is currently a toss-up, according to The New York Times, given the roughly 35 percent of votes that are in.

Dan Hopkins

A few weeks ago, Sanders cleaned up in Durham, New Hampshire, which is home to the University of New Hampshire. That makes sense — he does especially well with younger voters. So how’s he doing in college towns tonight? Orono, which is home to a campus of the University of Maine, just gave Sanders 53 percent of the vote. He won 41 percent of the vote in Boulder County, Colorado, home to the University of Colorado. Sanders also won Charlottesville, home to the University of Virginia, edging out Biden 34-32. But Biden triumphed in Montgomery County, Virginia, which is home to Virginia Tech. No word yet from Amherst or Dartmouth, Massachusetts, which are home to University of Massachusetts campuses.

Nate Silver

Part of what the wins in Oklahoma and Arkansas show is that Biden is stronger with working-class white voters than Clinton was four years ago. That could scramble the map a bit. The counter is that Sanders is quite a bit stronger with Hispanics than he was four years ago.


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