FiveThirtyEight
Dan Hopkins

Maine continues to count its votes, with Biden now enjoying a lead of less than a percentage point. Lewiston, Maine’s second-largest city, has now reported, and Biden’s victory there closely matched his current margin in the state — he won 33.7 percent of the vote to Sanders’s 32.3.

Laura Bronner

We’ve seen throughout the night that there’s a major difference between voters who decided early and those who decided in the last few days — Sanders consistently does a lot better among earlier deciders, while Biden has the advantage among late deciders. And while Biden was the favorite in North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee and Virginia in our preelection forecast, that only really happened in the last few days.

Julia Wolfe

Micah, why not both?


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