What Went Down On Super Tuesday

Decision Desk HQ has a decent amount of Boston’s Suffolk County reporting in Massachusetts, and Sanders is ahead there, but by only 3 points over Biden. With Biden doing decently well in most of the rest of the state, he seems to have a real shot to win it. But we’ve got a lot of Massachusetts folks on this blog, so I’m sure they’ll tell me that I’m wrong!

Well, Amelia, my hot take is that California wouldn’t necessarily be counterevidence of that — when many of California’s ballots were cast (i.e., early), the momentum/media narrative favored Sanders!

It’s almost 10 p.m. Eastern, which means polls in Utah are about to close (although Utah is another state that mostly votes by mail). Our forecast — as of this morning, when we froze it — gave Sanders a 3 in 5 (59 percent) chance to win here and Biden a 3 in 10 (28 percent) chance. On average, we’re predicting 29 percent of Utahns to vote for Sanders, 25 percent to vote for Biden, 21 percent to vote for Bloomberg and 17 percent to vote for Warren. For delegate purposes, it’s also important what each candidate gets in each congressional district, but it shouldn’t be too far off their statewide totals.