FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

There are lots of reasons a Minnesota win would be big for Biden. It was a great Sanders state in 2016 — albeit in a caucus rather than a primary. It would be an upset. It has a decent number of delegates. And perhaps most importantly, it would show he can win in the Midwest, which would bode well for how he might do in later states like Michigan and Wisconsin.

Nathaniel Rakich

Sometimes, a wave of earned media or (dare I say it) momentum is enough to wash away the best-laid plans of mice and men (unfortunately for me, mixed metaphors remain unwashed-away).

Micah Cohen

Julia, I’m also remembering … one week ago, when it seemed like Sanders was in a dominant position.


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