FiveThirtyEight
Micah Cohen

Julia, I’m also remembering … one week ago, when it seemed like Sanders was in a dominant position.

Julia Azari

Everything everyone else has pointed out has certainly pointed to a good night for Biden, but I’m remembering how long the 2016 primary went on and imagining who hasn’t voted yet.

Aaron Bycoffe

A breakdown of voting methods from North Carolina shows just how much the vote swung toward Biden. In the absentee vote, he’s about 4 points ahead of Sanders; in the Election Day vote, he’s up by 30 points.

Election Day voters in North Carolina really like Biden

Vote share by candidate for absentee voters and Election Day voters in North Carolina, with 57 percent of precincts reporting

Candidate Absentee Election Day Change
Biden 28.3% 53.0% +24.6
Gabbard 0.4 0.6 +0.2
Sanders 24.3 23.3 -1.0
Warren 12.1 8.4 -3.7
Bloomberg 17.7 10.1 -7.6

Source: North Carolina State Board of Elections


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