What Went Down On Super Tuesday

Much of Hennepin County (Minneapolis) has reported in Minnesota, and Biden is leading Sanders there by about 2 points, 35 percent to 33 percent. That’s a bit surprising to me, as the Twin Cities are the most liberal part of the state. Warren has 19 percent, though, so I wonder if she actually might be a bit of a spoiler for Sanders there.

Sarah, if Minnesota were to be called for Biden, his projection would shoot up to 1,944 delegates and Sanders’s would decline to 1,188. It would be a pretty big deal, and it would sort of make Texas a must-win state for Sanders to avoid a really bad night.

The Upshot is now saying their projections show that Biden could be a comfortable favorite in Minnesota.

If Biden were to win there, how big of a deal would that be? As a refresher, we gave Sanders a 53 percent shot of winning the most votes there and Klobuchar the second-best shot, at 24 percent.