FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

Warren is somewhat comfortably above the 15 percent delegate threshold in Minnesota so far — with 18 percent of the vote — although The Needle projects her numbers will decline a bit.

Julia Wolfe

Sanders’s win in Colorado leaves us with only 1,245 simulations and Biden within 1 point of where he started on majority chances

Clare Malone

So, NBC news is reporting that Bloomberg is going to reassess his campaign tomorrow. Of course, that language is vague, but it wouldn’t surprise me at all if he does drop out. Earlier tonight I tweeted about an email that the campaign sent that was a bit odd in its tenor, leaving a lot of room, in my reading, for him to drop out.


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