What Went Down On Super Tuesday

Sanders’s win in Colorado leaves us with only 1,245 simulations and Biden within 1 point of where he started on majority chances

So, NBC news is reporting that Bloomberg is going to reassess his campaign tomorrow. Of course, that language is vague, but it wouldn’t surprise me at all if he does drop out. Earlier tonight I tweeted about an email that the campaign sent that was a bit odd in its tenor, leaving a lot of room, in my reading, for him to drop out.

We have now seen the four Southern states with sizable African Americans populations — Virginia, North Carolina, Alabama and Tennessee — called for Biden. In some of those states, he’s doing even better with black voters than he did in South Carolina. It was only a couple weeks ago when Sanders was within striking distance of Biden in South Carolina and the black vote was divided between Biden, Sanders and Bloomberg nationally. Likely an important event in helping to consolidate that vote was Rep. James Clyburn’s endorsement of Biden. Clyburn is the most senior African American congressman in the party. In an interview we did with him in Charleston, he came out hard against Sanders, previewing some of Democratic Party’s strategy in the week since.