FiveThirtyEight
Galen Druke

We have now seen the four Southern states with sizable African Americans populations — Virginia, North Carolina, Alabama and Tennessee — called for Biden. In some of those states, he’s doing even better with black voters than he did in South Carolina. It was only a couple weeks ago when Sanders was within striking distance of Biden in South Carolina and the black vote was divided between Biden, Sanders and Bloomberg nationally. Likely an important event in helping to consolidate that vote was Rep. James Clyburn’s endorsement of Biden. Clyburn is the most senior African American congressman in the party. In an interview we did with him in Charleston, he came out hard against Sanders, previewing some of Democratic Party’s strategy in the week since.

Nate Silver

ABC News is projecting Colorado for Sanders, which was good state for him to begin with, and one that was going to be very hard for Biden to catch up in because it’s entirely vote by mail.

Geoffrey Skelley

While Biden has done well in states with a fair bit of racial and ethnic diversity, especially states with sizable black electorates, it’s notable that he looks in good shape to win in Oklahoma, a state with about an 80 percent white primary electorate. However, it’s not like he won by huge margins among white voters there — in the preliminary exit poll, he led Sanders by 11 points, 34 percent to 23 percent, with Bloomberg getting 16 percent.


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