What Went Down On Super Tuesday

Julia, is there an option on that interactive for if we believe that all of reality is a simulation? We’re narrowing down to ~2,000 simulations in our simulation, which exists within a larger simulation.

With just shy of 2,000 simulations remaining after Biden’s wins in Oklahoma and Tennessee, our model gives Biden a 37 percent chance of winning a majority of pledged delegates, just 6 points higher than where he started tonight.

With the Oklahoma and Tennessee calls, this is, at the very least, not going to be a bad night for Biden. He’s won all the states where he was a clear favorite except Arkansas, where there was no exit poll, so the networks may take longer to project.