FiveThirtyEight
Aaron Bycoffe

With most of the vote recorded in Virginia, it appears that almost all the delegates will be allocated to Biden and Sanders — with Warren possibly picking up one or two. Candidates must win at least 15 percent of the vote statewide or in a congressional district to be eligible for delegates.

Where things stand in the race for Virginia delegates

Vote share by candidate for each delegate pool in Virginia, with 99 percent of the expected statewide vote reporting

DELEGATE POOL AVAILABLE Biden Sanders Warren Bloomberg Gabbard
1st District 6 55.4% 21.7% 8.9% 9.6% 1.3%
2nd District 5 55.6 23.5 7.7 10.4 1.2
3rd District 7 63.5 19.2 5.7 9.0 0.7
4th District 6 53.3 26.6 10.6 7.4 0.5
5th District 6 52.8 21.9 12.5 9.5 0.8
6th District 5 49.5 26.3 12.6 8.0 1.1
7th District 6 57.0 21.0 8.0 10.5 1.0
8th District 7 48.4 18.8 19.3 9.8 0.5
9th District 4 47.7 29.6 11.0 7.7 1.2
1st District 6 50.3 25.6 10.0 11.0 0.9
1st District 7 44.1 26.9 13.3 11.2 1.1
At-Large 21 53.4 23.0 10.7 9.7 0.9
PLEO 13 53.4 23.0 10.7 9.7 0.9

Highlighted numbers meet the 15 percent threshold needed to win delegates.

Source: Edison

Dan Hopkins

One thing to note about public views of Sanders is that he generates more strong support than Biden does. In a recent NBC/Wall Street Journal poll, 16 percent of people were enthusiastic about Sanders as president, whereas for Biden the number was just 6 percent. (And for Trump? 27 percent.)

Nathaniel Rakich

Oklahoma is the first state that Sanders won in 2016 that he lost in 2020.


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