What Went Down On Super Tuesday

With just shy of 2,000 simulations remaining after Biden’s wins in Oklahoma and Tennessee, our model gives Biden a 37 percent chance of winning a majority of pledged delegates, just 6 points higher than where he started tonight.

With the Oklahoma and Tennessee calls, this is, at the very least, not going to be a bad night for Biden. He’s won all the states where he was a clear favorite except Arkansas, where there was no exit poll, so the networks may take longer to project.

One of the races I’m very interested in isn’t the presidential race — the GOP primary for Senate in Alabama is also going on! But we have basically no votes in Alabama even though polls closed there almost an hour and a half ago.