FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

ABC News also projects Oklahoma for Biden.

Ryan Best

In the current landscape of results, Texas is increasingly crucial for both Biden and Sanders. According to our Super Tuesday simulator, we project that a Biden win in Texas would put him within striking distance of a pledged delegate majority at the time of the convention, while pushing Sanders’ chances of winning a majority down to just 2.5 percent. Meanwhile, a Sanders win in Texas would basically mean neither Biden nor Sanders are likely to win a majority (neither cracks a 15 percent chance), with “no majority” being the big winner in that scenario.

Nathaniel Rakich

With 49 percent of Election Day precincts reporting in Tennessee, it’s Biden 34 percent, Sanders 24 percent, Bloomberg 19 percent and Warren 9 percent. If those results hold, Biden, Sanders and Bloomberg will qualify for delegates.


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