What Went Down On Super Tuesday

With 40 percent of Election Day precincts reporting in North Carolina, Biden (at 36 percent), Sanders (at 24 percent) and Bloomberg (at 16 percent) look like they’ll qualify for delegates, while Warren (at 11 percent) might get shut out.

We’re still having A LOT of fun over here in the FiveThirtyEight newsroom, as you can see with Clare and Galen here. Watch as they talk about whether the results so far mean the Biden campaign is exceeding expectations.

Bloomberg’s numbers are holding up a little better in other states than they did in Virginia — but a lot of them are reporting early votes first, whereas Virginia had little early voting. It remains to be seen how well he’ll do once more Election Day returns are accounted for.