FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

Bloomberg’s numbers are holding up a little better in other states than they did in Virginia — but a lot of them are reporting early votes first, whereas Virginia had little early voting. It remains to be seen how well he’ll do once more Election Day returns are accounted for.

Nathaniel Rakich

The Associated Press has called Oklahoma for Biden. Currently, with 8 percent of precincts reporting, Biden has 30 percent, Sanders has 21 percent, Bloomberg has 18 percent and Warren has 13 percent.

Geoffrey Skelley

Virginia’s turnout increase probably also has a fair bit to do with it being an open primary, meaning some traditionally Republican-leaning voters (who may identify as independent) showed up to vote. Virginia has no party registration, and with only one party holding a contest, if you wanted to vote this was your only option.


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