What Went Down On Super Tuesday
It’s really important to remember that Virginia, where Biden is winning by 31 (!!) points so far, has little early voting, whereas states like California and Texas have much more. That could be the difference between Biden having a good night and a great night.
Digging deeper into the preliminary Virginia exit polls, it’s notable that Biden has a comfortable lead over the other candidates among college graduates, including white college graduates — not a demographic with which he had shown much strength in the four early states. Of course, in line with his earlier performance, his lead among non-college nonwhite voters is even more formidable.
In Virginia, voters of all education levels back Biden
Candidates’ vote share by race and education, in preliminary exit polls in Virginia
| White | Nonwhite | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| candidate | college graduates | non-college graduates | college graduates | non-college graduates |
| Biden | 52% | 46% | 54% | 69% |
| Sanders | 19 | 32 | 25 | 20 |
| Warren | 15 | 10 | 10 | 2 |
| Bloomberg | 12 | 8 | 10 | 7 |
| Gabbard | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Buttigieg | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
| Klobuchar | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Steyer | 0 | 0 | — | 0 |
So while Virginia is mostly a story about Biden winning by a big margin, it looks like Warren will get at least one delegate out of the state: She’s at around 18 percent in the 8th Congressional District, which is right up against Washington, D.C., in Northern Virginia, and includes areas such as the city of Alexandria and Arlington County. This is one of the most Democratic-leaning parts of the state.