What Went Down On Super Tuesday

Meanwhile, no state other than Virginia has more than 8 percent of precincts reporting.

With Biden’s win in Alabama, we’re down to only ~3,500 simulations out of the 20,000 we started with in our Super Tuesday simulator. Bloomberg’s win in American Samoa is what really winnowed the pool, but every call will give us fewer simulations to estimate from.

Eighty-five percent of precincts are reporting in Virginia, which makes it my new favorite state. Biden has 54 percent, Sanders has 23 percent, Warren has 10 percent and Bloomberg has 9 percent.