What Went Down On Super Tuesday

So far, three states have been called for Biden and just one has been called for Sanders. Right about now, some media outlets may be tempted to start crafting a “Biden is winning Super Tuesday” narrative. Don’t do it! As I said on the latest episode of the FiveThirtyEight web series Confidence Interval, that narrative would be premature.

The lack of surprise in the results so far reminds me of my pet theory that intra-party politics is becoming more like inter-party politics, predictable by race, age and region.

For what it’s worth, Bloomberg spent a whopping $1,651 on Facebook ads seen by users in American Samoa over the last 90 days, according to the site’s ad library. He also appears to be the only campaign that spent money on Facebook ads seen there.