FiveThirtyEight
Kaleigh Rogers

For what it’s worth, Bloomberg spent a whopping $1,651 on Facebook ads seen by users in American Samoa over the last 90 days, according to the site’s ad library. He also appears to be the only campaign that spent money on Facebook ads seen there.

Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux

One place where Biden is doing especially well: the northern Virginia suburbs, which are full of white college-educated women who I would have guessed would lean toward Warren. Makes me wonder if some of them decided to strategically vote for Biden in that surge of late deciders.

Geoffrey Skelley

Galen, who’s sitting next to me in our cluster around the TVs, just asked me if it’s possible that Biden could win Virginia by a larger margin than Hillary Clinton did in 2016 vs. Sanders. She won by 29 points; right now, Biden leads by about 33 points, so it’s definitely possible. Even if he falls short of Clinton’s margin, remember that Biden is doing this in a four-way race rather than the head-to-head matchup between Clinton and Sanders.


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