What Went Down On Super Tuesday

Virginia, God love them, is already at 39 percent reporting, and Biden could win it by an even bigger margin than he won South Carolina. He leads Sanders 56 percent to 23 percent, while Warren and Bloomberg are far behind at 9 percent.

Well, you’ve got some Sanders savagery from Warren supporters. But I think there’s a lot of truth to this: Sanders was in a really good position just a week ago — I believe we called the race “his to lose.” And now he’s in a real bind thanks to the dropouts of moderate candidates and a coalescing around Biden.

I’m thinking that I personally have focused too much on race/ideology/age and not enough on region in this primary. Sanders did terribly in the South in 2016. And it seems like he is doing poorly in the South in 2020, based on what we know about Virginia, North Carolina and South Carolina. And part of that story is about race (lots of black voters in these states, and they have backed Clinton/Biden). But the Virginia and North Carolina exit polls tonight suggest he is losing the Southern white vote in those states too.