What Went Down On Super Tuesday
I’ve been looking at which North Carolina towns saw the greatest increase in early voter turnout. Affluent suburbs outside of Raleigh and Charlotte saw some of the most dramatic increases. As Geoff mentioned, Biden had an almost 20-point lead in the affluent D.C. suburbs in Virginia, which could indicate a similar phenomenon in these areas.
Affluent N.C. cities saw a dramatic increase in early voting
Number of early voters in the 2020 Democratic presidential primary by median income, compared with 2016
| City | MEDIAN INCOME | Increase from 2016 |
|---|---|---|
| Holly Springs | $104,822 | 226.0% |
| Davidson | 128,255 | 185.9 |
| Waxhaw | 107,356 | 123.9 |
| Mooresville | 67,656 | 117.3 |
| Knightdale | 70,376 | 108.6 |
| Morrisville | 96,489 | 105.4 |
| Cary | 101,079 | 104.2 |
| Cornelius | 88,366 | 99.0 |
| Wake Forest | 88,394 | 96.8 |
| Leland | 66,996 | 95.2 |
What The Delegate Race Looks Like At The District Level In Massachusetts
Also at 8 p.m. Eastern, polls will close in Massachusetts, where Sanders has a 1 in 2 (51 percent) chance to win in our forecast; Warren, who represents the state, has a 1 in 4 (25 percent) chance. Per the average model run, Sanders is expected to get 29 percent of the vote, Warren 25 percent, Biden 24 percent and Bloomberg 19 percent. But 59 pledged delegates will also be decided based on the results on the congressional-district level, so here’s our forecast for each district.
Every candidate could get delegates across Massachusetts
Average forecasted vote share for the top four Democratic presidential candidates in Massachusetts congressional districts, according to the FiveThirtyEight model as of 9:30 a.m. on March 3
| District | Sanders | Warren | Biden | Bloomberg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MA-01 | 29% | 23% | 25% | 20% |
| MA-02 | 30 | 25 | 23 | 19 |
| MA-03 | 29 | 25 | 24 | 18 |
| MA-04 | 30 | 27 | 22 | 17 |
| MA-05 | 29 | 28 | 23 | 18 |
| MA-06 | 30 | 26 | 22 | 18 |
| MA-07 | 26 | 22 | 29 | 20 |
| MA-08 | 29 | 26 | 24 | 18 |
| MA-09 | 29 | 25 | 24 | 19 |
| State | 29 | 25 | 24 | 19 |
Just a reminder that if you’re waiting to see if Tennessee gets a quick call at 8 p.m., some outlets, including our colleagues at ABC News, we will be waiting because polling hours have been extended in parts of the state after the devastating tornado strikes there early this morning.