What Went Down On Super Tuesday
What The Delegate Race Looks Like At The District Level In Massachusetts
Also at 8 p.m. Eastern, polls will close in Massachusetts, where Sanders has a 1 in 2 (51 percent) chance to win in our forecast; Warren, who represents the state, has a 1 in 4 (25 percent) chance. Per the average model run, Sanders is expected to get 29 percent of the vote, Warren 25 percent, Biden 24 percent and Bloomberg 19 percent. But 59 pledged delegates will also be decided based on the results on the congressional-district level, so here’s our forecast for each district.
Every candidate could get delegates across Massachusetts
Average forecasted vote share for the top four Democratic presidential candidates in Massachusetts congressional districts, according to the FiveThirtyEight model as of 9:30 a.m. on March 3
| District | Sanders | Warren | Biden | Bloomberg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MA-01 | 29% | 23% | 25% | 20% |
| MA-02 | 30 | 25 | 23 | 19 |
| MA-03 | 29 | 25 | 24 | 18 |
| MA-04 | 30 | 27 | 22 | 17 |
| MA-05 | 29 | 28 | 23 | 18 |
| MA-06 | 30 | 26 | 22 | 18 |
| MA-07 | 26 | 22 | 29 | 20 |
| MA-08 | 29 | 26 | 24 | 18 |
| MA-09 | 29 | 25 | 24 | 19 |
| State | 29 | 25 | 24 | 19 |
Just a reminder that if you’re waiting to see if Tennessee gets a quick call at 8 p.m., some outlets, including our colleagues at ABC News, we will be waiting because polling hours have been extended in parts of the state after the devastating tornado strikes there early this morning.
Our first kind of surprising result! But our simulator isn’t especially convinced that Bloomberg’s win in American Samoa will help him — just that Bloomberg’s victory hurts everyone else
