What Went Down On Super Tuesday

We have full results from American Samoa, the only territory and only caucus of Super Tuesday! Bloomberg has won his first contest of the primary season. This is perhaps unsurprising, given that he had seven paid staffers in the territory and spent a lot of money on TV, digital and print ads there.

Another (expected) win for Biden in North Carolina means we’re not running out of simulations too quickly, so our best guess from our simulator is still roughly in line with where we started

In North Carolina, Bloomberg had the most field offices yet again, but his advantage was not as large: Sanders and Warren had four, while Biden only had one. Bloomberg’s first field office of the entire campaign was in Charlotte, showing his commitment to North Carolina. I’ll need to see more details, but it is becoming clearer: The aftermath of South Carolina overwhelmed Bloomberg’s investments, and Biden didn’t need much organization to sustain his momentum.