What Went Down On Super Tuesday

There have been some issues in North Carolina and some polls will stay open longer, but based on analysis of the exit poll, ABC News projects that Biden will win the North Carolina Democratic primary. This is in line with what we had projected in our final forecast — we gave Biden a 95 percent chance of winning the most votes there. As was the case in Virginia, Biden had a recent surge there after South Carolina.

We have our first official results of the night, which you can see in our nifty side bar over here 👉. With 2 percent of precincts reporting in Virginia, Biden is overperforming our model’s expectations, Sanders is right about where we expected him, and Warren is slightly below.

Right, so Michigan’s vote next week pretty much clears up why Warren is speaking now — it’s basically a “hey, Super Tuesday isn’t the end of this” message.