FiveThirtyEight
Laura Bronner

Looking at the age distribution in the states for which we have preliminary exit poll data, we can see that Minnesota had the largest share of voters under 30, while Oklahoma and Alabama were on the older side, with the smallest share of under-30s and, in Oklahoma’s case, the largest share of voters over 65.

Sarah Frostenson

Looks like results might be delayed a bit in North Carolina.

Laura Bronner

As Geoff wrote, there’s quite a large difference in vote share for Biden and Sanders between those who decided early and those who decided late — particularly in Vermont. Yet more support for the last-minute Biden surge.

Biden surged with late deciders

Candidates’ vote share by when they decided, in preliminary exit polls in Vermont and Virginia

Vermont Virginia
Last few days (36%) Earlier than that (63%) Last few days (48%) Earlier than that (52%)
Biden 31% 9% 52% 45%
Sanders 37 69 20 30
Warren 16 11 13 10
Bloomberg 13 7 12 7
Buttigieg 0 2 3
Klobuchar 1 1 1 2
Gabbard 1 0 1
Steyer 0 1 0

Source: Edison Research


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