What Went Down On Super Tuesday
What Voters’ Race Told Us In The First Four States
In most of the early states, both Biden and Sanders have had an advantage with nonwhite voters — Biden with black voters and Sanders with Hispanic voters. (New Hampshire and Iowa didn’t have enough nonwhite voters to break out candidate support among black and Hispanic voters.) But both Buttigieg and Klobuchar did better among white voters than with voters of color. It will be interesting to see whether their endorsements of Biden will bolster his performance among white voters that would have otherwise supported the two of them, or whether Sanders will pick up some of this support.
Biden and Sanders tend to do better with nonwhite voters
Candidates’ vote share by race, in entrance polls in Nevada and Iowa and exit polls in South Carolina and New Hampshire
| SC | NV | NH | IA | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | White (40%) | Non-white (60%) | White (65%) | Non-white (35%) | White (89%) | Non-white (11%) | White (91%) | Non-white (9%) |
| Biden | 33% | 59% | 15% | 23% | 8% | 12% | 16% | 13% |
| Sanders | 23 | 17 | 29 | 42 | 25 | 36 | 21 | 43 |
| Steyer | 10 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Warren | 9 | 5 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 12 |
| Buttigieg | 16 | 3 | 19 | 8 | 25 | 18 | 23 | 15 |
| Gabbard | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | — |
| Klobuchar | 7 | 1 | 13 | 4 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 3 |
| Yang | — | — | — | — | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 |
What do we know about the ideological composition of the electorate today? Well, the states with the largest share of “very liberal” voters are Maine and Vermont, according to preliminary exit polls, while Virginia and Oklahoma have the smallest share of those voters. But Texas has the most voters who describe themselves as “conservative,” alongside other Southern states.
Perry, that Vanity Fair report is interesting. While the top tier of the Bloomberg campaign is filled with a lot of long-term advisors, he also hired are a lot of Democratic operatives who worked for other campaigns, and I’m betting there’s a feeling among those people that the field should be a coalescing if Bloomberg isn’t viable after tonight.