What Went Down On Super Tuesday
Vanity Fair is reporting that some of Bloomberg’s own staff wanted him to leave the race before voting today, post-South Carolina. The fact that such reporting has emerged gives me some sense that there is a decent chance that Bloomberg is leaving the race this week — I doubt his aides would let that out if he is running till the convention.
What Voters’ Age Told Us In The First Four States
The clearest dividing line in the primary thus far is age. Younger voters tend to prefer Sanders while older voters prefer Biden — a pattern that’s held true across the four early states. But barring huge voter turnout among younger voters, Biden could stand to pick up even more older voters tonight, as both Klobuchar and Buttigieg also did relatively better among older voters, especially in whiter states.
Biden and Sanders’s support has a huge age divide
Candidates’ vote share by age, in entrance polls in Nevada and Iowa and exit polls in South Carolina and New Hampshire
| SC | NV | NH | IA | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | 17-44 (29%) | 45+ (71%) | 17-44 (36%) | 45+ (64%) | 18-44 (35%) | 45+ (65%) | 17-44 (45%) | 45+ (55%) |
| Biden | 30% | 56% | 8% | 23% | 5% | 10% | 4% | 25% |
| Sanders | 34 | 14 | 56 | 21 | 42 | 18 | 41 | 8 |
| Steyer | 9 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Buttigieg | 10 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 22 | 25 | 21 | 24 |
| Warren | 12 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 17 |
| Klobuchar | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 27 | 5 | 19 |
| Gabbard | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Yang | — | — | — | — | 5 | 2 | 10 | 3 |
Bloomberg’s campaign manager apparently just told reporters in Florida, “I think Mike Bloomberg is either the candidate for the party or the single most important person helping that candidate defeat Donald Trump” — but then added that he’s “absolutely not” dropping out tonight.