What Went Down On Super Tuesday
In late January, I asked Democratic voters age 30 and over about why they backed the candidates they did. Biden voters were more likely to cite electability than backers of any other major Democratic candidate.
Vanity Fair is reporting that some of Bloomberg’s own staff wanted him to leave the race before voting today, post-South Carolina. The fact that such reporting has emerged gives me some sense that there is a decent chance that Bloomberg is leaving the race this week — I doubt his aides would let that out if he is running till the convention.
What Voters’ Age Told Us In The First Four States
The clearest dividing line in the primary thus far is age. Younger voters tend to prefer Sanders while older voters prefer Biden — a pattern that’s held true across the four early states. But barring huge voter turnout among younger voters, Biden could stand to pick up even more older voters tonight, as both Klobuchar and Buttigieg also did relatively better among older voters, especially in whiter states.
Biden and Sanders’s support has a huge age divide
Candidates’ vote share by age, in entrance polls in Nevada and Iowa and exit polls in South Carolina and New Hampshire
| SC | NV | NH | IA | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | 17-44 (29%) | 45+ (71%) | 17-44 (36%) | 45+ (64%) | 18-44 (35%) | 45+ (65%) | 17-44 (45%) | 45+ (55%) |
| Biden | 30% | 56% | 8% | 23% | 5% | 10% | 4% | 25% |
| Sanders | 34 | 14 | 56 | 21 | 42 | 18 | 41 | 8 |
| Steyer | 9 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Buttigieg | 10 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 22 | 25 | 21 | 24 |
| Warren | 12 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 17 |
| Klobuchar | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 27 | 5 | 19 |
| Gabbard | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Yang | — | — | — | — | 5 | 2 | 10 | 3 |
