FiveThirtyEight
Maya Sweedler

The only one I could see a legitimate argument for is Shaquil Barrett, just for his ability to get to Mahomes? But he’s by no means a clear-cut choice …

Sara Ziegler

Could be Gronk, too? But yeah, Brady seems right.

Neil Paine

A very Phil Simms-ian performance from Brady.

Neil Paine

Yeah, no single defender stands out. Winfield had the one pick. It feels like Brady’s to lose, right?

Josh Hermsmeyer

I’m seeing people on Twitter agitating for a defensive MVP. Who would that be, though?

Sara Ziegler

True story: Last time Mahomes lost by more than one possession was on Nov. 19, 2016. Iowa State beat him and Texas Tech 66-10.

Ty Schalter

Just one more Chiefs field goal and two more Bucs touchdowns before this game hits the pregame over.

Neil Paine

Tampa Bay is the Iowa State of NFL Mahomes opponents, it’s official.

Sara Ziegler

I KNOW, NEIL

Neil Paine

Iowa State reference, Sara!!!!!

Tony Chow

I’m spending this entire Tampa Bay drive still thinking about those almost-TD passes from Mahomes.

Josh Hermsmeyer

Just watching this silliness on repeat.

https://twitter.com/benbbaldwin/status/1358604116285603840?s=21

Josh Hermsmeyer

I take a slightly brighter view of drinking at work, but that’s probably just me.

Ty Schalter

Between “5 to 9” and “let’s drink beers at work because there’s no such thing as play anymore,” these ads are pretty dark vis-a-vis work/life balance.

Sara Ziegler

I didn’t say Darnold! I said “quarterbacks.” Most quarterbacks can’t make plays like Mahomes can.

Michael Salfino

Actually, Darnold does escape and throw incompletions like that, Sara.

Sara Ziegler

You just say that, Mike, because you’re used to quarterbacks taking sacks in those situations.

Michael Salfino

Mahomes seems to be intentionally increasing the degree of difficulty. He’s Tin Cupping it.

Josh Hermsmeyer

How many doinks off of helmets are we gonna see tonight? My goodness.

Tony Chow

Mahomes is throwing some all-time ridiculous throws that the K.C. receivers are just not catching.

Sara Ziegler

I mean, Mahomes is incredible just for being able to attempt that kind of throw.

Ty Schalter

That was an inexcusable drop at the end of one of the greatest individual efforts I’ve ever seen.

Neil Paine

Mahomes is running around like Fran Tarkenton out here.

Maya Sweedler

Darnold would’ve taken a sack on that previous play.

Michael Salfino

Speaking of the Jets, Sara, it’s like Darnold is playing this game instead of Mahomes.

Sara Ziegler

Really a bummer that the Chiefs have to use a timeout here.

Neil Paine

That would have been the most ridiculous play in sports history, I think?

Sara Ziegler

WHAT WAS THAT PLAY

Neil Paine

If that catch had counted, OMG.

Michael Salfino

Virtual Lombardi is still saying ‘Run to Win.’

Sara Ziegler

I think Hologram Lombardi probably called that last running play, tbh.

Josh Hermsmeyer

Hologram Lombardi says throw it to Kelce again.

Michael Salfino

Virtual Lombardi must be watching a Super Bowl in another multiverse.

Sara Ziegler

The Lombardi thing is weird, right?

Sara Ziegler

And the third quarter is in the books!

Michael Salfino

Are you suggesting Mahomes and Brady did a body switch, Josh?

Neil Paine

That was only the third catch of the night for Tyreek Hill, with under a minute left in the third quarter.

Sara Ziegler

How do the Jets fans in this blog feel about Bowles?

Neil Paine

They’re rightly talking about the job Todd Bowles has done as Tampa Bay’s defensive coordinator. They have slowed down this K.C. offense in a way we have practically never seen — certainly not in a big game.

Ty Schalter

Wow, Josh, that feels spookily accurate.

Josh Hermsmeyer

I feel like I’m watching a late-career Mahomes, who can’t make the throws any longer but still thinks he can. It’s wild.

Michael Salfino

Holy Moly. That does not take Mahomes into account. But still.

Neil Paine

Yeah, which is Falcons territory!

Josh Hermsmeyer

It’s 99.3, Mike!

Michael Salfino

What is Tampa Bay’s win probability now, compared with San Francisco last year and Atlanta vs. New England in that Super Bowl? Have we hit 98 percent yet?

Sara Ziegler

And with that field goal, the Bucs are up 31-9 with 2:46 left in the third.

Sara Ziegler

Maya, I was just thinking about the story Neil wrote when Gronk signed with Tampa Bay — that he and Brady make each other better. But yeah, this is a surprise.

Maya Sweedler

I can’t get over Gronk’s stat line tonight — it almost feels like we’re seeing a mid-2010s New England version of the tight end. Gronk was dominant as a Patriot, but I wouldn’t have guessed, based off his regular season, that he’d be the Bucs’ leading receiver in the Super Bowl. He had a career-low catch percentage this season, at 58.4 percent, and was close to career lows in yards per game (38.9) and receiving yards per receptions (13.8).

Tony Chow

Never forget.

https://twitter.com/sung_minkim/status/1358597205171445761?s=20

Sara Ziegler

Gronk woulda had that catch. 😉


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