FiveThirtyEight
Josh Hermsmeyer

Here are Patrick Mahomes’s first half advanced stats: EPA per play: -0.14; Completion Percentage Over Expected: -13.8; success rate on passing plays: 38 percent. (All according to nflfastR’s models.)

Neil Paine

It’s 21-6 at the half, with the Bucs a little further ahead against the Chiefs than they were against the Packers in the NFC championship game. Will Mahomes stage the comeback that Aaron Rodgers couldn’t?
Michael Salfino

The over/under (52.5) has not changed much from kickoff, which is shocking given that the Chiefs offense has been suffocated.


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