FiveThirtyEight
Josh Hermsmeyer

Whew that was a tremendous pass, but Kittle looks like he pushed off.

Michael Salfino

I am so confused by this time management.

Neil Paine

So not exactly a coherent strategy here.

Sara Ziegler

And take a timeout! LOL

Neil Paine

Well, but now they pass with him.

Ty Schalter

Yeah, Josh, you’re right: Shanahan refusing to put the game in Garoppolo’s hands could end up being the story of this postseason, win or lose.

Sara Ziegler

Are the commercials more confusing this year than normal? Or am I just forgetting all the weird commercials of the past?

Josh Hermsmeyer

Seems a bit cowardly to me to rest on a 10-10 tie, but the 49ers must figure that since they get the ball back to start the second half it’s not worth the risk of another Garoppolo interception.

Neil Paine

That… checks out?

Sara Ziegler

If you keep running the ball, you’re basically asking the Chiefs to call a timeout there.

Michael Salfino

Niners happy with 10-10.

Michael Salfino

That was a terrible no-timeout by Shanahan. Lost 40 seconds.

Michael Salfino

Sara, I don’t like saving timeouts for offense because you can conserve time when you have the ball. I like using them on defense.

Sara Ziegler

Ban on sad commercials, please.

Josh Hermsmeyer

It will be interesting to see if the Niners unleash Garoppolo with 59 seconds left in the half, or play it conservative.

Sara Ziegler

Or are they saving the timeouts, Mike?

Neil Paine

Great job by the 49ers defense keeping KC from getting a score before the half. Stopping the speedy Hardman on that reverse play on 2nd down was big, as was bottling up Williams on the screen to force a punt and get the ball back.

Michael Salfino

Why no timeout? No faith in the offense.

Sara Ziegler

Not a great batch of play calls on that series for the Chiefs.

Sara Ziegler

Two minute warning!

Josh Hermsmeyer

One thing I’ve noticed from the Chiefs’ receivers is that they aren’t catching the ball and getting downhill after the catch. Lots of dancing, and they are coming up short of the first down marker more often than not. I’d want that to stop if I were Andy Reid.

Michael Salfino

Niners doing a good job stopping Hill from taking the top of the defense and beating them deep.

Ty Schalter

For the record, that 49ers score brought their win probability up to 53.3, per Pro-Football-Reference’s model. Of course, you don’t need an advanced model to know that coming up with that stop and answering with a touchdown was a huge few minutes for San Francisco’s chances to win.

Sara Ziegler

Great move from Damien Williams on the first pass of the drive from Mahomes. I love the “oops, I’m stopping” move.

Michael Salfino

Hardman looked like he was hurt after that return.

Neil Paine

I look forward to his grandson, Mike Juszczyk, playing for the Patriots in 2070.

Josh Hermsmeyer

The Niners turned that drive around in a hurry with a few long runs, and finished with a play action pass to the fullback. As Neil pointed out, that’s pretty much how everyone thought they would attack the Chiefs. Big drive.

Michael Salfino

Juszczyk is the Yastrzemski of football.

Sara Ziegler

With 5:05 left in the half, we’ve got ourselves a 10-10 tie.

Sara Ziegler

Hahaha, Neil.

Michael Salfino

That was a really good throw by Jimmy G. This is a brand new game.

Neil Paine

Everyone live blogging this game, at a minimum.

Sara Ziegler

How many people just looked up how to spell Juszczyk?

Neil Paine

Let’s see… Garoppolo play action, rolling out, hits a fullback for a TD…. who has 49ers Bingo?

Josh Hermsmeyer

The fullback gets some love!

Michael Salfino

Still not a good pass by Garoppolo, behind Samuel. He’s not looking sharp, to say the least.

Josh Hermsmeyer

That was a massive hole for Coleman there.

Michael Salfino

I jinxed it for the Chiefs.

Neil Paine

I love Raheem Mostert’s career stats table. So many stints with minimal action, now he is a playoff hero.

Sara Ziegler

The rushing game seems to be working now, for whatever reason.

Michael Salfino

A 2nd-and-long run says one of two things (or maybe both): Shanahan really believes in his running game or really does not believe in Garoppolo.

Josh Hermsmeyer

Rushing Wide Receivers matter.

Neil Paine

(Awwwww, it was a pass?)

Sara Ziegler

I love that it counted as a pass. Pad Jimmy G.’s stats!

Neil Paine

Deebo Samuel — generational rushing talent.

Michael Salfino

Whatever running game design worked so well against the Packers is not working now against the Chiefs.

Sara Ziegler

Pitbull with a cameo in the Jennifer Lopez commercial probably means he’ll be in her set, yes?

Ty Schalter

Assuming a touchback on that recent kickoff, the difference between a field goal and a touchdown on that drive was the difference between the 49ers having a 30.6 percent win probability, and a 21.7 percent win probability. They’d rather have a 1 in 3 shot, I’m sure.

Sara Ziegler

That easy field goal for Dustin Colquitt extended the Chiefs’ lead to 10-3, with 9:32 left in the first half.

Michael Salfino

A Chiefs TD there would not have been fatal but it would have been near-fatal. So, they survived. Now Garoppolo has to do something positive for the first time all game.


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