FiveThirtyEight
Geoffrey Skelley

The way things are setting up, Biden and Sanders might be the only candidates who clear the 15 percent threshold statewide in South Carolina, and given his weak backing among black voters, Sanders might fall short in a district or two. So that’s going to be something to keep an eye on.

Nate Silver

A big question right now is what this means for Bloomberg. Biden clearly has more of a claim to being the best moderate alternative to Bernie after actually, y’know, winning a state. And Biden has already moved back ahead of Bloomberg in our national polling average.

Micah Cohen

So if this does turn into a Sanders versus Biden race, here’s an interesting tidbit that Nathaniel just dug out of the preliminary South Carolina exit polls:

Among Sanders voters tonight, 49 percent have an unfavorable view of Biden and 45 percent a favorable one.

Among Biden voters, 51 percent have an unfavorable view of Sanders and 40 percent a favorable one.


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