What Went Down At The South Carolina Primary
Yeah, Micah, our model certainly thinks it’s a three-way race between Sanders, Biden and no one. But “no one,” of course, could be anyone, if this thing goes to a contested convention. So that might be incentive for the second-tier candidates to stay in the race.
Looking at the preliminary exit polls, one thing that stands out is the age gap in Biden’s support, however, there’s a bit of promising news for him among black voters. Sanders won 45 percent of white voters aged 17 to 44 while Biden won only 8 percent, but among black voters, Biden actually edged Sanders 41 percent to 29 percent under 45.
And of course, among older voters, Biden did well regardless of race.
Candidate preference by race and age
Chosen candidate in the 2020 South Carolina Democratic primary by race and age, according to preliminary exit poll data
| Black | White | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate | 17-44 | 45+ | 17-44 | 45+ |
| Biden | 41% | 68% | 8% | 32% |
| Sanders | 29 | 12 | 45 | 18 |
| Steyer | 12 | 14 | 4 | 12 |
| Buttigieg | 5 | 2 | 21 | 16 |
| Warren | 11 | 2 | 17 | 11 |
| Klobuchar | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 |
| Gabbard | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Yes.