What Went Down At The South Carolina Primary

It sure looks that way now. But say Biden does win the nomination — he’d be the first nominee to not win in either Iowa or New Hampshire since Bill Clinton in 1992. Those first two states just do so much expectation-setting for the rest of the primary, which hasn’t really happened here.

Yeah, Micah, our model certainly thinks it’s a three-way race between Sanders, Biden and no one. But “no one,” of course, could be anyone, if this thing goes to a contested convention. So that might be incentive for the second-tier candidates to stay in the race.

Looking at the preliminary exit polls, one thing that stands out is the age gap in Biden’s support, however, there’s a bit of promising news for him among black voters. Sanders won 45 percent of white voters aged 17 to 44 while Biden won only 8 percent, but among black voters, Biden actually edged Sanders 41 percent to 29 percent under 45.

And of course, among older voters, Biden did well regardless of race.