FiveThirtyEight
Sarah Frostenson

OK, I have a question as we wait for more results to come in. If Biden’s lead is as sizable as we think it is — say, in the double digits — where do you think this leaves the other candidates? Will many candidates not crack double digits at all? I’m thinking Warren, Buttigieg and Klobuchar here. Surprisingly it seems as if Steyer might do OK (we have very few results at this point, though).

Micah Cohen

Great point, Galen. See the Culinary Union in Nevada!

Galen Druke

Micah, that’s an important point about Biden turning a corner in South Carolina before the debate or endorsement. In fact, if it wasn’t clear that Biden was quite likely to win, I don’t think Clyburn would have endorsed.


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