FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

We didn’t get four different winners in the early states, but we did get four different outcomes in terms of who won the most pledged delegates:

  • Iowa: Buttigieg
  • New Hampshire: Sanders and Buttigieg tie
  • Nevada: Sanders
  • South Carolina: Biden
Sarah Frostenson

Right, I could see a very different breakdown between Sanders and Biden in say, California, when it comes to black voter support. South Carolina has a lot of moderate voters — both black and white.

Galen Druke

Also, caucuses simply aren’t a great way of gauging voter support. They just aren’t.


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