FiveThirtyEight
Perry Bacon Jr.

I think Ryan will have a conference. But once they can’t reach an agreement (they probably can’t — you’ve been watching the last six months), the question is: Does Ryan, after some period of conferencing, say let’s vote on this Senate bill? Just because you have a conference doesn’t mean you have to change the bill from said conference.
Aaron Bycoffe

Just because a bill goes to conference committee doesn’t mean that the committee will be successful in addressing the demands of these senators. Once the Senate passes it, the House could decide at any point that the conference committee isn’t getting anywhere and just pass the “skinny bill.”
Nate Silver

Maybe Ryan could provide assurance to the Graham, et. al. by telling the House to go home to their districts?

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