FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

Republican Vote Soup

Between the two major votes on alternatives to Obamacare — last night’s on BCRA and today’s on repeal and delay — we have the following breakdown of GOP votes:
  • 3 Republicans who voted against both BCRA and repeal (Collins, Heller, Murkowski)
  • 4 Republicans who voted for BCRA but against repeal (Alexander, Capito, McCain, Portman)
  • 6 Republicans who voted for repeal but against BCRA (Corker, Cotton, Graham, Lee, Moran, Paul)
  • And 39 Republicans who voted for both BCRA and repeal (everyone else)
It’s quite a mess. And yet, McConnell would still seem to stand a chance of getting “skinny repeal” passed, even though nobody’s quite sure what bill would emerge once it came back from conference with the House.
Blythe Terrell

Amendment fails with 54 “no,” 45 “yes,” per C-SPAN. Missing vote is Democrat Michael Bennet of Colorado, per The New York Times’s tracker.
Perry Bacon Jr.

Collins, Heller and Murkowski have voted against both bills. This is the “no” caucus.

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