FiveThirtyEight
Kaleigh Rogers

Trump says Americans build the future, “we don’t tear down the past,” a clear reference to the growing push to remove statues of confederate monuments. However, Mother Nature does tear down the past: Hurricane Laura toppled a confederate statue in Lake Charles, Louisiana, last night.

Nate Silver

At the risk of getting into Forecast Wars, I think people generally overstate the impact of the economy on a president’s reelection chances, and I also think that the dynamics of a COVID-19-induced recession might be different than a normal recession. Trump’s approval rating on the economy is still fairly decent.

Micah Cohen

I’d be interested to go through and see how closely this speech hewed to our “perfectly-poll-driven Republican stump speech.”


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