FiveThirtyEight
Nate Silver

At the risk of getting into Forecast Wars, I think people generally overstate the impact of the economy on a president’s reelection chances, and I also think that the dynamics of a COVID-19-induced recession might be different than a normal recession. Trump’s approval rating on the economy is still fairly decent.

Micah Cohen

I’d be interested to go through and see how closely this speech hewed to our “perfectly-poll-driven Republican stump speech.”

Seth Masket

Trump suggested that the original moon shot was so that Americans could stand and salute the flag from another world.


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