FiveThirtyEight
Chris Jackson

Micah, Trump’s approval rating was low before the pandemic, but he got through impeachment, his approval briefly got to 43 percent before the coronavirus threw everything out the window. Incumbents frequently gain a few points during the campaign, so would he not be a favorite with a 45 favorite approval rating?

Micah Cohen

Remember when the fight over a “gasoline tax” was going to decide the 2008 election? Simpler times … simpler times.

Dan Hopkins

No mention of climate change, except through the attacks on the Paris Accord and the boasts about low gas prices. That represents a real difference between Trump and the U.K.’s Boris Johnson, who has argued for the need to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.


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