FiveThirtyEight
Galen Druke

I think if you removed coronavirus from the equation but kept the unrest in cities and Trump could run on the economy and “law and order,” he’d be a favorite.

Micah Cohen

But Chris, his approval rating was still pretty bad pre-pandemic. Wouldn’t the race have been more of a 50-50 toss-up?

Chris Jackson

Micah, if not for the pandemic, Trump would have been the favorite based on the economy, he could have run on almost anything and won.


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