FiveThirtyEight
Dan Hopkins

I wrote earlier today that to win, Trump needs to build support more among white Americans who are lower in prejudice. I don’t think a heavy emphasis on law and order fits the bill.

Nathaniel Rakich

Trump says the top 10 most dangerous cities in the country are run by Democrats. I haven’t fact-checked that, but I wouldn’t be surprised — because almost all cities are run by Democrats. In the top 21 most populous cities in the U.S., there are only three Republican mayors.

Nathaniel Rakich

Trump says Biden’s polling numbers “are going down like a rock in water” amid the racial-justice protests. As Perry Bacon Jr. wrote today, that’s just not true. (Biden’s lead has actually held incredibly steady at around 8 percentage points.)


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