FiveThirtyEight
Dan Hopkins

Yes, Julia, I keep thinking about Lynn Vavreck’s book “The Message Matters.” Vavreck argues that when conditions are good, incumbents should run clarifying campaigns that highlight those conditions. Since conditions aren’t helpful to Trump right now, he’s got to find an insurgent issue on which Biden is constrained.

Sarah Frostenson

Wow, I have to say, Micah, I am surprised that health care tops the coronavirus outbreak. Many polls haven’t differentiated between the two, so I think I’d been assuming when health care was the No. 1 issue, it was largely driven by the coronavirus.

Galen Druke

This speech formally kicks off the final stretch of the campaign. While we are all intently focused on Trump’s arguments tonight, it’s important to remember that a lot is going to happen over the 10 weeks between now and Election Day.


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