FiveThirtyEight
Sarah Frostenson

“Many on the other side love to incite division by claiming that President Trump is a racist. They could not be more wrong,” says Carson. That line is striking to me, given how many stories have been written on Trump stoking racial division, but Carson is not the first speaker during the convention to forcefully rebut this.

Dan Hopkins

Building on Seth’s point, in the most recent Gallup poll, just 4 percent of Americans listed “crime” as their top problem earlier this month.

Seth Masket

Dorn is a very sympathetic public speaker and tells a horrific story about her husband’s killing. How this is a speech in favor of Trump’s reelection is less clear. But it’s consistent with Kellyanne Conway’s statement today that as people see more “chaos and anarchy,” they are more likely to support Trump. It seems unlikely that this is true, but it’s been a consistent message this week.


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