FiveThirtyEight
Kaleigh Rogers

I wonder if the “converts” trope backfires at all by revealing that the differences between the parties aren’t necessarily as stark as partisans would claim?

Micah Cohen

To Nate’s point about the “image softening” Scavino is doing — whatever the Trump campaign says, it’s probably a tip-off that they know they’re behind when the bar they’re shooting for is “Trump is not mean.”

Dan Hopkins

Yes, Geoffrey, there just aren’t very many people going from party to party. But since swing voters both take a vote away from one party and give one to the other party, they effectively count double.


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